Silver breakout in the previous session fueled strong price action (+3.5% close/close in SIH5) associated with multiple consecutive CTA (Call To Action) buying events that ultimately increased their net long to 70%, equivalent to +13% of the CTA’s maximum size, as repeated whipsaws diminished the strength of the trend signal.
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Spot Gold Above $2645 Next Target $2700—$2718
Spot Gold Forecast: There is a lack of clear direction for gold, “The price is declining, as indicated by the two converging trend lines. Crisscross moves around the 50-DMA indicate a lack of clear direction.”
US tariffs and strong US dollar may drag down industrial metals prices
“The US election has further complicated the outlook for the complex with a threat of tariffs on Chinese goods looming over the market. Industrial metals all fell after Trump on Monday denied a report that his team was planning weaker import tariffs than those announced during his presidential campaign. We believe that potential US tariffs and a stronger dollar could further depress industrial metals prices.”
![Gold Price Technical Analysis On Intraday Chart [28-03-2025]](https://www.goldsilverreports.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/09/Gold-Forecast.webp)
Downside Momentum likely to Accelerate Gold Below $2600
Gold Outlook: “The momentum break experienced on election day typically marks the end of such moves. But if that is the case, what can we expect from here? The melt-up has created a notable margin of safety for macro fund positions, which now hold significant paper profits on their extremely bloated length. Large scale selling activity from CTAs will only kick off below $2600/oz.”
China’s crude oil reserves fell significantly in July 2024
The International Energy Agency (IEA) has revised its forecast for crude oil demand slightly downwards this year. This was due to a significant slowdown in demand in the second quarter, particularly in the emerging economies, where the annual increase was the lowest since 2020, which was impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic, Commerzbank’s Commodity Analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.
Beijing Pays the Price for the Slow Pace of Economic Reform
As the world’s largest nations send out helicopter money amounting to well more than 10% of their gross domestic product to fight the economic effects of the coronavirus pandemic, China, which just suffered its first economic contraction in two decades, is conspicuous for its stinginess.
Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell announced an interest rate cut of 0.25% Wednesday
Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell announced an interest rate cut of 0.25% Wednesday, confirming analysts’ expectations of a cut amid softening inflation, a strong consumer economy and an uncertain international trade outlook.
Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady but Opens Door to a Cut – Gold Silver Reports
Federal Reserve officials left interest rates unchanged at their June meeting but opened the door to a cut if President Trump’s trade fight intensified and risks to the American economy increased.
European Central Bank (ECB) said it would Delay its First Post-Crisis interest Rate Hike until at Least the Middle of Next Year.
Gold Silver Reports (GSR) – The euro climbed higher against the U.S. dollar on Thursday, after the European Central Bank (ECB) said it would delay its first post-crisis interest rate hike until at least the middle of next year. In a move that was well-flagged, ECB President Mario Draghi also offered to pay banks if they borrow cash from the central bank and pass it on to households and firms.
US Fed ‘Patient’ on Further Rate Hike: FOMC Minutes
The latest minutes of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy meeting showed that the central bank was still “patient” on further rate hikes.