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Technical Analysis
Gold prices tumbled down to support level which is seen as an upward sloping trend line that comes in near 1,198. A break of trend line support, or a close below this level would lead to a test of the September lows at 1,180. Prices pushed through support near the 50-day moving average at 1,209, which is now seen as short-term resistance. Additional resistance is seen near the 20-day moving average at 1,224. Momentum is negative as the MACD (moving average convergence divergence) histogram is printing in the red with a declining trajectory which points to lower prices. The fast stochastic has tumbled moving lower which reflects accelerating negative momentum. The current reading on the fast stochastic is 9, which is below the oversold trigger level of 20 and could foreshadow a correction.
Gold Silver Reports (GSR) – Buoyed by a pick-up in festive season demand, gold prices today edged closer to six-year high. Gold rates today rose by Rs 70 to Rs 32,620 per 10 grams ahead of the old upcoming Dhanteras and Diwali festivals.
Technical Outlook – Technical Outlook: In our last Gold Weekly Technical Outlook, we continued to highlight a critical resistance confluence at $1238/1243, “a region defined by the 38.2% retracement of the yearly range, the 100% extension of the advance off the August low, the December swing low and the long 200-week moving average.” Price is testing this zone now and a weekly close above is needed to keep the immediate long-bias viable.
New Delhi: Falling for the second straight day, gold prices on Saturday edged lower by Rs 40 to Rs 32,550 per 10 grams at the bullion market amid tepid demand from local jewellers and a weak trend overseas. But gold prices still remained near six-year high levels.
Volatility in the stock market may help turn the attention of Indian investors to gold in the upcoming Dussehra and Diwali festive period, said bankers and analysts.
Gold Silver Reports (GSR) – Bullion could average $1,350 an ounce in 2019 as corporate tax reforms worsen the U.S. fiscal balance, Francisco Blanch, head of global commodities and derivatives research, said in a phone interview last week. Spot gold traded at $1,196.23 on Monday and has averaged about $1,285 this year.
