Federal Reserve ready to cut interest rates by 25 basis points

The US Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce monetary policy decisions following the November policy meeting on Thursday, just barely two days after Donald Trump was elected as the 47th president of the United States. Market participants widely anticipate that the US central bank will lower the policy rate by 25 basis points (bps) to the range of 4.5%-4.75%.

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Crude Oil Technical Analysis: OPEC+ Needs to Act

Crude Oil prices could be set for a bear cycle as Donald Trump is set to become the next US President in January 2025. Trump has already committed in the runup to the presidential election that regulation and permitting will become less strict. At the same time, funds allocated to green energy will be diverted towards shale Oil and fossil fuel projects. That means structural additional supply is set to be released in 2025, on top of OPEC+’s foreseen supply normalization.

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​US natural gas prices are side-lined

​US natural gas prices are side-lined

Natural Gas (NG) Outlook: The recovery from Monday’s 2.665 low, made marginally above the October low at 2.636, is ongoing with US natural gas prices treading water at present. For another upside thrust to unfold, a rise above Tuesday’s high at 2.903 would need to be seen. If so, the 20 June high at 3.016 would be back in play. Further up lie the early to late October highs at 3.081-to-3.141.

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Downside Momentum likely to Accelerate Gold Below $2600

Downside Momentum likely to Accelerate Gold Below $2600

Gold Outlook: “The momentum break experienced on election day typically marks the end of such moves. But if that is the case, what can we expect from here? The melt-up has created a notable margin of safety for macro fund positions, which now hold significant paper profits on their extremely bloated length. Large scale selling activity from CTAs will only kick off below $2600/oz.”

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Trump tax cuts come at the right time for stocks. Further ahead, it gets murky.

Trump tax cuts come at the right time for stocks. Further ahead, it gets murky.

For stock markets, the short-term and long-term outcomes of the “Trump trade” won’t necessarily be the same.

Donald Trump’s victory

So far, President-elect Donald Trump’s victory Tuesday has been positively received by investors, as was the case in 2016. The S&P 500 rose 2.5% to a record close Wednesday, buoyed by Trump’s stated intentions to, among other tax cuts, take the corporate-tax rate from 21% to 15% for companies that manufacture in the U.S.

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