Trump’s return: There are many small reasons but three big ones

Trump’s return: There are many small reasons but three big ones

The US elections are over and the outcome is an uncontestable victory for Donald Trump and the Republican Party. Trump got 50.4% of the national vote, a margin of more than 2 percentage points over Kamala Harris. This signals a decisive victory by recent US election standards. He won all seven swing states and got about the same number of votes in 2024 as in 2020 (Harris got 10 million fewer than Joe Biden had that year).

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Trump's policies are likely to increase inflation risks

Trump’s policies are likely to increase inflation risks

“From last week’s record high, Gold (XAU/USD) had thus fallen by around $140. Selling pressure was caused by a significantly stronger US dollar and a sharp rise in US bond yields. In previous weeks, neither of these factors had been a hindrance for Gold. However, the extent of the USD appreciation and the rise in yields were apparently too strong this time to be ignored by Gold.”

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​US natural gas prices are side-lined

​US natural gas prices are side-lined

Natural Gas (NG) Outlook: The recovery from Monday’s 2.665 low, made marginally above the October low at 2.636, is ongoing with US natural gas prices treading water at present. For another upside thrust to unfold, a rise above Tuesday’s high at 2.903 would need to be seen. If so, the 20 June high at 3.016 would be back in play. Further up lie the early to late October highs at 3.081-to-3.141.

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Trump tax cuts come at the right time for stocks. Further ahead, it gets murky.

Trump tax cuts come at the right time for stocks. Further ahead, it gets murky.

For stock markets, the short-term and long-term outcomes of the “Trump trade” won’t necessarily be the same.

Donald Trump’s victory

So far, President-elect Donald Trump’s victory Tuesday has been positively received by investors, as was the case in 2016. The S&P 500 rose 2.5% to a record close Wednesday, buoyed by Trump’s stated intentions to, among other tax cuts, take the corporate-tax rate from 21% to 15% for companies that manufacture in the U.S.

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Why the Stock Market is Down Today? [04 November 2024]

Why the Stock Market is Down Today? [04 November 2024]

Stock market crash today: BSE Sensex and Nifty50, the Indian equity benchmark indices, plunged in trade on Monday. While BSE Sensex plunged over 1,400 points, Nifty50 went below the 23,900 mark. At 1:14 AM, BSE Sensex was trading at 78,526.57, down 1,198 points or 1.50%. Nifty50 was at 23,906.90, down 397 points or 1.64%.

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