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Sterling resumes losses before growth data

Sterling fell in European trade on Thursday against a basket of major rivals, resuming losses after a two-day hiatus and approaching a 14-month nadir. 

The pound is still under pressure due to the prospects of lower UK interest rates in February, as investors await crucial growth data later today to assess the odds.

The Price

The GBP/USD pair fell 0.25% today to $1.2208, with a session-high at $1.2248.

The pound rose 0.25% on Wednesday away from a 14-month trough at $1.2099.

UK Inflation 

UK consumer prices rose 2.5% y/y in December, missing estimates of 2.6%, and down from 2.6% in the previous reading. 

Core consumer prices rose 3.2%, below estimates of 3.4%, and down from 3.5% in the previous reading. 

It shows how inflationary pressures are receding from BOE policymakers, with the bank likely to welcome such developments.

UK Rates

Following the data, the odds of a Bank of England interest rate cut in February rose from 60% to 80%. 

Traders expect 65 basis points of UK rate cuts overall in 2025.

Later today, important GDP growth data will be released and will impact the pricing for future BOE rate cuts, with the growth rate estimated at 0.2% in November, compared to a 0.1% dip in October. 

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