BASEL – No one should overestimate economists’ powers of understanding. Just as the magnitude of the global downturn that began in mid-2008 took most economists completely by surprise, so did the sclerotic nature of the recovery. Similarly, economic forecasts today appear to be nothing more than hopeful extrapolations of recent growth.
Interest Rate
Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement – September 26, 2018
Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in August indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising at a strong rate. Job gains have been strong, on average, in recent months, and the unemployment rate has stayed low. Household spending and business fixed investment have grown strongly.
Bank of Korea Holds Interest Rate as Inflation Trails Target
Gold Silver Reports (GSR) – Bank of Korea Holds Interest Rate as Inflation Trails Target – The economy remains on track to grow 3 percent this year but inflation is projected to register 1.6 percent, slightly below the central bank’s previous forecast, Governor Lee Ju-yeol said during a news conference.
Global Gold Prices Firm on Softer Dollar
Gold Silver Reports – Gold prices edged higher on Wednesday as a retreat in the dollar lent support but it remained hemmed within the narrowest monthly range since 2005 as soaring stock markets indicated buoyant appetite for more cyclical assets.
Fed to Leave $1 Trillion Question Unanswered in Big Bond Unwind
Gold Silver Reports — Fed to Leave $1 Trillion Question Unanswered in Big Bond Unwind — Janet Yellen’s Federal Reserve is getting ready to set off on a path toward a smaller balance sheet without knowing quite where it will end up.
Federal Reserve Officials are Widely Expected to Interest-Rate Increase
Gold Silver Reports — Federal Reserve officials are widely expected to announce an interest-rate increase this week amid buoyancy in the stock market and indications the U.S. economy continues to grow steadily, without signaling they anticipate accelerating their pace of policy tightening.
Beyond the expected announcement Wednesday of a quarter-point hike in the U.S. central bank’s benchmark rate target, to a range of 0.75 percent to 1 percent, investors will be looking for whether policy makers change their forecasts for the rest of 2017 and beyond.
Gold Up 2.6 Percent on Interest Rate Report
Gold Silver Reports ~ Gold climbed to its highest in almost nine months on Thursday as the dollar, U.S. Treasury yields and equity markets dipped on bets that the Federal Reserve could find it hard to raise U.S. interest rates this year.
Interest Rate Cut Bets May Be off if Government
Interest rate cut bets may be off if government dithers on deficit https://t.co/BmI5alNHIe pic.twitter.com/brVAt2KVuY — EconomicTimes (@EconomicTimes) January 6, 2016