Gold Silver Reports (GSR) – China’s Factory Inflation Slows as Consumer Price Gains Ease – The producer price index rose 3.1 percent in March from a year earlier, compared with the projected 3.3 percent rise and 3.7 percent in February. The consumer price index climbed 2.1 percent, the statistics bureau said Wednesday, versus a forecast of 2.6 percent and 2.9 percent in February.
The slowest factory inflation in more than a year may offer limited support to the world reflation cycle, amid rising trade tensions that may weigh on synchronized global growth. Domestic consumer prices are forecast to rise this year, while tariffs added to imports of U.S. products from soybeans to cars may boost inflation if implemented.
China’s factory inflation slowed for a fifth month while the consumer price index retreated from a four-year high.
“For now, there’s no sign of China exporting inflation to the world,” said Li Wei, a senior economist at Standard Chartered Plc in Shanghai, who predicts both PPI and CPI will stabilize in the range of 2 percent to 3 percent in the second half of 2018. “Policy makers won’t focus on inflation this year, instead they’ll prioritize tasks such as cutting leverage.”
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The fading of the Lunar New Year holiday effects in March was the main reason for the CPI deceleration, the statistics bureau said in a statement released with the data.