MCX Crude Tips – Watch 3949 Level, Above we See Target 4160 (Trade With Small Lots)
Above 3949 Buy on Dips Trade With Small Lots
U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures were at $55.52 per barrel at 0732 GMT, down 17 cents, or 0.3 percent, from their last settlement.
International benchmark Brent crude oil futures were down 9 cents at $65.38 per barrel.
Crude oil has lost over a quarter of its value since early October in what has become one of the biggest declines since a price collapse in 2014.
“Crude oil futures succumbed to overwhelmingly bearish pressure amidst … weaker market fundamentals,” said Benjamin Lu, analyst at brokerage Phillip Futures in Singapore.
The slump in spot prices has turned the entire forward curve for crude oil upside down.
Spot prices in September were significantly higher than those for later delivery, a structure known as backwardation that implies a tight market as it is unattractive to put oil into storage.
By mid-November, the curve had flipped into contango, when crude prices for immediate delivery are cheaper than those for later dispatch. That implies an oversupplied market as it makes it attractive to store oil for later sale.
Oil markets are being pressured from two sides: a surge in supply and increasing concerns about an economic slowdown, as seen with the economic contractions in powerhouses Japan and Germany during the third quarter as well as in China’s falling car sales.
U.S. crude oil output from its seven major shale basins is expected to hit a record 7.94 million barrels per day (bpd) in December, the U.S. Department of Energy’s Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Tuesday.
That surge in onshore output has helped overall U.S. crude production hit a record 11.6 million bpd, making the United States the world’s biggest oil producer ahead of Russia and Saudi Arabia.
Most analysts expect U.S. output to climb above 12 million bpd within the first half of 2019. – “This will, in our view, cap any upside above $85 per barrel (for oil prices),”
